Because of their impacts on droughts, famines, and floods, modes of climate variability can shape patterns of social instability. Yet the mechanisms linking climate variability to armed conflict remain contested, especially relative to the myriad …
In this study, we examine how precipitation variability affects interstate conflict. As climate change worsens, extreme weather events and disasters become more frequent and intense, with growing impacts on human security and socioeconomic …
This project examines how disasters influence conflict dynamics in interstate rivalries. Drawing on the rivalry literature’s idea of political shocks and the logic of diversionary conflict, the authors argue that rapid onset disasters shorten the …
Many scholars examine the relationship between climate variability and intrastate conflict onset. While empirical findings in this literature are mixed, we know less about how climate changes increase the risks for interstate conflicts between …
Do climate variability and volatility affect interstate conflict?